Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1008.088217 1151.083568 1313.562503 1513.194046 1753.711585 2036.497563 2397.637768
2025-01-19 777.253731 951.588165 1168.858781 1464.409054 1863.749829 2396.412750 3181.729229
2025-01-26 698.004292 894.144469 1154.008741 1533.109174 2089.184527 2904.578694 4251.921432
2025-02-02 632.795840 839.947753 1128.094674 1573.223232 2273.052104 3388.051680 5433.943821
2025-02-09 582.597795 796.589707 1106.733163 1610.121330 2451.779341 3898.778424 6834.073589
2025-02-16 531.710194 744.495794 1063.316062 1602.333793 2551.651796 4295.429182 8169.269439
2025-02-23 502.039414 719.648041 1056.676819 1650.547993 2754.369871 4930.162281 10276.594230
2025-03-02 473.666375 693.088662 1043.021433 1682.986487 2932.777110 5565.914272 12711.279774
2025-03-09 441.980887 657.724445 1010.208674 1675.237179 3029.970044 6055.574581 15042.935975
2025-03-16 409.855108 618.488699 966.285760 1639.926079 3062.711888 6406.727942 17189.385472
2025-03-23 390.896833 599.240356 954.576723 1663.886969 3226.550700 7130.087504 21065.095133
2025-03-30 363.208260 562.828974 908.682903 1613.703185 3213.871900 7390.701910 23481.128200
2025-04-06 337.476218 529.211866 867.243897 1572.688203 3228.792233 7776.809322 26967.647541
2025-04-13 313.075533 496.275801 824.432030 1524.225797 3219.611176 8105.991399 30665.177898
2025-04-20 305.980408 493.249154 837.143195 1596.043045 3530.293112 9568.740974 42166.957788
2025-04-27 295.942159 483.942895 836.621568 1638.404252 3775.852438 10953.749341 56073.098807
2025-05-04 286.312411 474.516569 834.745532 1677.271783 4023.540821 12499.433461 75169.673282
2025-05-11 272.866542 456.839202 814.387341 1669.067008 4131.591566 13563.043827 93633.344916
2025-05-18 265.946894 451.045784 817.891716 1719.895842 4437.814905 15704.065592 132538.684073
2025-05-25 258.004478 442.624319 814.967367 1754.106953 4702.743663 17876.145388 185664.754006
2025-06-01 247.190366 427.762243 796.798727 1745.933251 4822.753429 19416.218140 241303.744784
2025-06-08 234.951323 409.269704 769.145145 1708.695884 4831.073461 20361.191595 294700.175465
2025-06-15 228.241922 401.481750 764.547349 1733.962540 5079.406641 22995.052937 430242.564311